Round 11 saw our model finally crack a 100% prediction rate, with all 7 of the weekend’s winners correctly identified. Most of the games were won by the favourite, but the Brumbies win was predicted by only 43% of Superbru’s users. Not that we care of course, since we’re all about the science, but we’re up into the top 25% on the Superbru leaderboard. Here are the games from last weekend:

Here are the predictions for the week ahead. Looking at the predicted win margins, it looks like a tough weekend, with a strong possibility of our model being brought back down to earth with a thud:

Another tough weekend for us with just two out of seven games correctly predicted. The last few weekends have thrown up quite a few upsets, which our model hasn’t been able to predict. Fortunately, not many other people have either – which means our model still sits at around the 40^th percentile of Superbru users. In other words, we’re doing better than 40% of pundits, but worse than 60%, not bad but not fantastic! Here are the games from last weekend:

Another fairly dire weekend modelling-wise… after the first four games of the weekend we didn’t have a single game correct. This time everyone struggled though, so it seems the results were genuine upsets. Fortunately our final two predictions came through to save us a bit of face.

Here are predictions for this week, looks like another tough round to choose from!