Winning margins increasing in Superugby

Another week of slipping down the leaderboard for our model, getting 4 out of 7 correct last weekend when many on Superbru got the Hurricanes/Highlanders result right too. As usual when things don’t go our way we’ll try distract you with a graphic. It seemed to us that winning margins have been getting bigger in recent weeks, so here’s a plot of the average winning margin per round over the competition. Blue lines indicate lines of best fit for the first 8 round and next 9 rounds. We’ve cherry picked our split at round 8 for maximum effect, but it looks like there could be something there: let’s see what happens this weekend.

Screen Shot 2015-06-12 at 9.27.30 AM

Here are the outcomes for last weekend followed by predictions for the weekend ahead:

Screen Shot 2015-06-12 at 9.27.40 AM

Screen Shot 2015-06-12 at 9.27.49 AM

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