Home ground advantage increasing as #Superugby progresses

Round 13 saw a clean sweep of victories by home sides. Repeating our analysis of last week with this updated data, we now get a significant increase in the home sides probability of winning as the competition progresses… its time to publish. Notwithstanding a very lucky exact prediction of the Stormers one-point victory over the Brumbies, our model did worse than the Superbru average. We’re still hovering around the top 25% of the leaderboard.

Here are the outcomes for last weekend followed by predictions for the weekend ahead.

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Screen Shot 2015-05-15 at 6.54.04 AM

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