#Superugby predictions: Round 17

It was a pretty mediocre 4 out of 7 correct for our model last weekend. Home teams dominated again, with 6 out of 7 home teams winning. That includes a couple of upsets: Crusaders over Hurricances, Lions over Waratahs, and the sheer size of the Highlanders win over the Chiefs. Here are the outcomes for last weekend followed by predictions for the weekend ahead. Last weekend’s big wins make this week’s predictions interesting. The Reds-Chiefs game looks much closer than it did a week ago!

Screen Shot 2015-06-03 at 2.11.04 PM

Screen Shot 2015-06-03 at 2.11.13 PM

Runs of “form” in this year’s #Superugby competition

Last week saw our model get five out of weekend’s seven games correct, roughly the same as the Superbru average. It also saw only 3 home teams winning, compared to 4 away teams, remembering we’re keeping an eye on that statistic. This week we thought we’d look at some more data visualization using networks. The figures below show the rounds in which each team in the competition won. A line between a team and a number indicates that the team won in that round, and we’ve divided teams up by their country to make it easier to see what’s going on. No Australian team won in round 9, and no South African team won in round 14, for example. Most teams pick up a few wins here and there, but these tend to be scattered throughout the competition rather than concentrated in a run of “form”. An exception is the Sharks: they put together a run in rounds 5, 6 and 7 but have fallen away badly since then.

Screen Shot 2015-05-29 at 8.11.09 AM

Here are the outcomes for last weekend followed by predictions for the weekend ahead. Only the Stormers and Sharks are unanimously tipped to win, otherwise looks like a weekend of close games!

Screen Shot 2015-05-29 at 8.07.55 AM

Screen Shot 2015-05-29 at 8.08.07 AM

Moving beyond the “brainless” model of resistance training

title page

What is the LEAST amount of training we need our athletes to do to get the BEST results out of them?

What is the role of the central nervous system in strength development?

In a series of posts, we will attempt to answer these questions.

2

In this post, we will cover some basic muscle physiology.

There are 2 principles that govern the ability of an athlete to develop maximal strength…

1) Henman’s Size Principle

The recruitment threshold of each motor unit is governed directly by the size of its axon. Thus, all motor units are recruited in an ascending order according to their relevant size.

Larger motor units having higher recruitment thresholds produce greater amounts of force, whereas smaller motor units have lower recruitment thresholds and produce less force. Due to their smaller threshold potential smaller motor units are recruited first (Baechle & Earle, 2008; Kraemer & Looney, 2012).

It is for this reasons that well- planned sequential (Hypertrophy –> strength –> power –> complex) resistance training phases are implemented, as it is only the activated motor units that undergo anabolism (“building”). Whereas catabolism (“breakdown”) is found to occur in non-activated motor units, due to exposure catabolic substances such as, inflammatory cytokines, free radicals, cortisol, etc. (Kraemer & Looney, 2012).

3

The Selective Recruitment Principle

The All-OR-NONE law, i.e. number of motor units recruited, as well as the number of motor units in a muscle, plays a role in power production. However, an exception to the rule is that well-trained athletes may be able to inhibit lower threshold units and in their place, activate the higher threshold motor units, thus increasing rate of force development and power output.

Check out the paper in Strength & Conditioning Journal, “Underlying mechanisms and physiology of muscular power” by Kramer et al (2012) for more detail.

Further to the adaptions above, the neuromuscular junction (NMJ) also undergoes the following changes:

  • Increase in NMJ area
  • Increase in length of nerve terminal branching
  • Increased motor end plate perimeter
  • Greater dispersion of muscle receptors

In practice, implementing various advanced strength-training methods increase motor unit recruitment. For untrained individuals though, the ability to recruit fast twitch fibers/high threshold motor units may be limited. Motor unit recruitment for untrained individuals is sparked by the motor cortex activity and through neural efficiency.

Your thoughts?

Regards,

Wayne